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Wednesday, September 21, 2011

DJIA : BULL HAS BLEEDED !!!!!

After showing a lack of direction throughout much of the trading session on Wednesday, stocks came under considerable selling pressure following the announcement of the Federal Reserve's latest effort to boost the sluggish economic recovery.

 

The major averages accelerated to the downside going into the close, ending the session near their worst levels of the day. The Dow plunged 283.82 points or 2.5 percent to 11,124.84, the Nasdaq tumbled 52.05 points or 2 percent to 2,538.19 and the S&P 500 plummeted 35.33 points or 2.9 percent at 1,166.76.

 

Indu22092011

The selling pressure on Wall Street emerged after the Fed announced its widely expected move to stimulate the economy by replacing short-term securities in its bond portfolio with longer-term securities.

 

The Fed said that it intends to purchase $400 billion worth of securities with remaining maturities of 6 years to 30 years by the end of June 2012, funding the purchase with the sale of an equal amount of securities with remaining maturities of 3 years or less.

 

"This program should put downward pressure on longer-term interest rates and help make broader financial conditions more accommodative," the Fed said.

 

At the same time, the central bank noted that economic growth remains slow and warned that there are significant downside risks to the economic outlook.

 

Commenting on the Fed announcement, Paul Ashworth, Chief U.S. Economist at Capital Economics, said, "The big question is whether this latest action will accomplish anything? We doubt it."

 

"The cost of borrowing simply isn't the problem," he added. "Businesses don't have the confidence to invest and half of all mortgage borrowers don't have the home equity needed to refinance at lower rates."

 

With all eyes on the Fed, traders largely shrugged off the release of a report from the National Association of Realtors showing a much bigger than expected increase in existing home sales in the month of August.

 

In corporate news, shares of Microsoft (MSFT) came under pressure on the day even though the software giant announced a 25 percent increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.20 per share. The company also said it is continuing its $40 billion share repurchase program.

 

Meanwhile, Oracle (ORCL) bucked the downtrend after reporting first quarter results that exceeded analyst estimates. The business software giant also forecast second quarter earnings in line with analyst estimates. Shares of Oracle rose by 4.2 percent to a nearly-two month closing high.

 

Adobe Systems (ADBE) also closed higher after the publishing and design software maker reported better than expected third quarter earnings and forecast fourth quarter results toward the high end of analyst estimates.

 

While most of the major sectors came under pressure following the Fed announcement, railroad stocks saw substantial weakness throughout the trading day. The Dow Jones Railroads Index tumbled by 7 percent to an eleven-month closing low.

 

Steep losses by Norfolk Southern (NSC) and CSX Corp. (CSX) contributed to the weakness in the railroad sector, which came after two coal producers lowered their forecasts for coal shipments this year.

 

Considerable weakness was also visible among steel stocks, as reflected by the 2.4 percent loss posted by the NYSE Arca Steel Index. The index fell to its worst closing level in over two years amid concerns about the outlook for global demand.

 

Banking stocks also came under significant selling pressure on the day, resulting in a 5.5 percent loss by the KBW Bank Index. Bank of America (BAC) turned in one of the sector's worst performances after Moody's downgraded its rating on the financial giant's debt.

 

Commercial real estate, trucking, and oil service stocks also posted notable losses amid the broad based weakness that emerged after the Fed announcement.

 

Other Markets

 

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region closed mostly higher on Wednesday, although Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index bucked the uptrend. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index edged up by 0.2 percent, while China's Shanghai Composite Index surged up by 2.7 percent.

 

Meanwhile, the major European markets showed notable moves the downside on the day. The German DAX Index tumbled by 2.5 percent, while the French CAC 40 Index and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index fell by 1.6 percent and 1.4 percent, respectively.

 

In the bond market, treasuries moved sharply higher following the announcement from the Fed. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite price, fell by 7.2 basis points to a record closing low of 1.875 percent.

 

Looking Ahead

 

Economic data may attract some attention on Thursday, with the Labor Department due to release its weekly report on initial jobless claims. The Conference Board is also due to release its report on leading economic indicators in the month of August.

 

On the earnings front, delivery giant FedEx (FDX) is among the companies that are due to release their quarterly results before the start of trading on Thursday.

Monday, September 19, 2011

DJIA : BULL STILL ALIVE

While stocks moved sharply lower in early trading on Monday amid renewed concerns about the financial situation in Europe, a substantial recovery attempt seen late in the trading day helped to lift the major averages well off their worst levels of the day.

 

After falling by over 250 points early on, the Dow closed down 108.08 points or 0.9 percent at 2,612.83. The tech-heavy Nasdaq briefly peeked into positive territory in late-day trading but still closed down 9.48 points or 0.4 percent at 2,612.83, while the S&P 500 fell 11.92 points or 1 percent to 1,204.09.

 

Indu20092011

The sharp sell-off seen early in the trading day came as U.S. stocks followed the global markets lower, as the concerns about Europe inspired traders to cash in on the strength that was seen last week.

 

Much of the selling pressure stemmed from news that a weekend meeting of European officials failed to make progress on dealing with Greece's mountain of debt, raising concerns that the debt-plagued nation could be forced to default.

 

Disappointing housing data may also have contributed to the early weakness, with a report from the National Association of Home Builders showing an unexpected deterioration in homebuilder confidence in the month of September.

 

The report showed that the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index dropped to 14 in September from 15 in August. The modest drop surprised economists, who had expected the index to remain unchanged.

 

However, stocks showed a notable move back to the upside after Greece described a conference call between Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos and officials from the European Commission, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank as "productive and substantive."

 

Greece said that the conference call, during which the officials discussed further measures the country must take to receive additional aid, would resume on Tuesday.

 

Traders were also digesting a budget deficit reduction proposal offered by President Barack Obama that includes $1.5 trillion in tax increases mostly targeting the wealthy.

 

Obama sent the plan to the budget super committee, calling for a balanced approach to deficit reduction and saying that the plan would produce net savings of more than $3 trillion over the next decade.

 

Sector News

 

Despite the recovery attempt seen in late-day trading, financial stocks still saw substantial weakness on the day amid lingering concerns about the global economic outlook.

 

Brokerage and banking stocks both saw considerable weakness, with the NYSE Arca Broker/Dealer Index and the KBW Bank Index falling by 3.1 percent and 2.8 percent, respectively. Morgan Stanley (MS) turned in one of the sector's worst performances, sliding by 7.9 percent

 

Significant weakness was also visible among railroad stocks, as reflected by the 3 percent loss posted by the Dow Jones Railroads Index. The loss by the index came after it closed higher in each of the four previous sessions.

 

Steel, electronic storage, and commercial real estate stocks also posted notable losses on the day but ended the session well off their worst levels.

 

Other Markets

 

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region saw considerable weakness on Monday, although the Japanese markets were closed for a public holiday. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index tumbled by 2.8 percent, while Australia's All Ordinaries Index fell by 1.6 percent.

 

The major European markets also came under significant selling pressure on the day. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index slid by 2 percent, while the German DAX Index and the French CAC 40 Index plunged by 2.8 percent and 3 percent, respectively.

 

In the bond market, treasuries saw considerable strength after showing a notable move to the downside last week. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, fell by 13.6 basis points to 1.94 percent.

 

Looking Ahead

 

While any further developments in Europe will likely drive trading on Tuesday, traders may also keep an eye on the Commerce Department's report on housing starts in the month of August. Economists expect housing starts to slip to an annual rate of 592,000 from 604,000 in July.

Sunday, September 18, 2011

FCPO MALAYSIA CRUDE PALM OIL FUTURES REVIEW FOR 19 SEPT 2011

FCPO MALAYSIA CRUDE PALM OIL FUTURES BASED ON ANDREW PITCHFORK 60 MINUTE CHART By Tokan Corner :

As  the chart and Andrew Pitchfork show. The FCPO has touched the Upperline of Andrew Pitchfork  ( Down Trend ) on last 14 SEPT 2011 after Mad Bull Rampaging on last 10 minute last trade. It started when it breakout from 3020 point area. ( Last Wed Statement )

And as on last Thursday it do really  gap down….. the market dragged about for 4 hour before it make it move on the 5th hours when the candle started to be outside of the Andrew Pitchfork Resistance Line and the Bull started to rampaging again till 3087 and closed at 3078 .

As for 19092011 Support Target area is at 3040 -3020 zone area for Support zone.

Resistance is  at 3086 – 3100

Reminder !!! Below 3010 we might going to Bear Land Again.

 

Fcpo_19092011

Updated  : Soybean Oil Price Chart From Forex Pros

( It may go down to 53.00 USD again )

Soybeanoilprice18092011

Reminder  PLS Put TS ok Guys J

 

Read My Previous Post On Cpo : http://tokancorner.com/2011/09/bursa-malaysia-fkli-futures-trading/fcpo-malay...

BURSA MALASIA FKLI FUTURES TRADING ON 60 MINUTE CHART ON ANDREW PITCHFORK REVIEW FOR 19 SEPT 2011

Malaysia Futures Trading FKLI 60 minute Chart By Tokan Corner :

As  the chart and Andrew Pitchfork show. The FKLI has stopped at Middle  of Andrew Pitchfork line.  The EMA and SMA still sell signal but due to the strong  of Dow Jones it may be followed by FBM KLCI and  FKLI Futures to rally . And my opinion  on last week regarding

“Dow Jones still have 200+ to 300 +  point to  kick off from the buckets   and as long 10700 can withstand the selling force then we might seen a Long Rally on Wave 3 based on Elliot Wave but below 10600 it will be a false alarm on the wave and may go down more”

Is still intact and already hold it firmly. ^_^

As on the chart is has put a square ( red / green ) to my target area that is around 1427 to 1430 to Buy On Dips and 1446 to 1456 To Sell On Strength  

 

Bursa_malaysia_fkli_futures_trading_60_minute_chart_review_for_18sept_2011

Wednesday, September 14, 2011

FCPO MALAYSIA CRUDE PALM OIL FUTURES REVIEW FOR 15 SEPT 2011

FCPO MALAYSIA CRUDE PALM OIL FUTURES BASED ON ANDREW PITCHFORK 60 MINUTE CHART By Tokan Corner :

As  the chart and Andrew Pitchfork show. The FCPO has touched the Upperline of Andrew Pitchfork  ( Down Trend ) on last 14 SEPT 2011 after Mad Bull Rampaging on last 10 minute last trade. It started when it breakout from 3020 point area.

As for 14092011 the market has rebounced after it break up from 3020 point then rebounced back to 3065 due to unknown factor to me  ( ???? )

As for Tomorrow  Support Target area is at 3040 -3010 zone area for Support zone.

Resistance still at at 3076 – 3083

Fcpo_15092011
Reminder !!! Below 3010 we might going to Bear Land Again.

 

Reminder  PLS Put TS ok Guys J



 

 

Sunday, September 11, 2011

FCPO MALAYSIA CRUDE PALM OIL FUTURES REVIEW FOR 12 SEPT 2011

FCPO MALAYSIA CRUDE PALM OIL FUTURES BASED ON ANDREW PITCHFORK 60 MINUTE CHART By Tokan Corner :

As  the chart and Andrew Pitchfork show. The FCPO has touched the lowerline of Andrew Pitchfork on last 08 SEPT and it has builded a Dragon Fly Doji on that day.

As for 09092011 the market has rebounced after it breakdown to 3033 point then rebounced back to 3050 due to Soybean Oil price hiked up.

And as for tomorrow FCPO may gap up to 3060 -3067 point due to strong rebounce on Soybean Oil.

As for Tomorrow Target area is at 3076 -3083 zone area for resistance zone.

Cpo_12092011_andrew_pitchfork

 

Supplement : Soybean Oil Price Chart From Forex Pros

Soybeanoilprice09092011

BURSA MALASIA FKLI FUTURES TRADING ON 60 MINUTE CHART ON ANDREW PITCHFORK REVIEW FOR 12 SEPT 2011

Malaysia Futures Trading FKLI 60 minute Chart By Tokan Corner :

As  the chart and Andrew Pitchfork show. The FKLI has stopped above  1st upperline of Andrew Pitchfork resistance line.  The EMA and SMA still holding but due to the weaknesses of Dow Jones it may drag the FKLI Futures down. And my opinion Dow Jones still have 200+ to 300 +  point to  kick off from the buckets   and as long 10700 can withstand the selling force then we might seen a Long Rally on Wave 3 based on Elliot Wave but below 10600 it will be a false alarm on the wave and may go down more.

As on the chart is has put a spot ( circle ) to my target area that is around 1446 and 1438 to Buy On Dips. And can start to short at current price or below with a TS at the 1st Upperline.

Bursa_malaysia_fkli_futures_trading_60_minute_chart_review_for_12_sept_2011
 

See my post on 24 Aug 2011 >> http://tokancorner.com/2011/08/bursa-malaysia-fkli-futures-trading/bursa-malasia-fkli-futures-trading-on-60-minute-chart-on-andrew-pitchfork-review-for-24-augs-2011/

 

Bursa Malaysia Trading KLSE FBM KLCI 60 minute Chart By Tokan Corner :

As a supplement let we see on Cash Market chart, as we can see the FBM KLCI  touched the upperline of Andrew Pitchfork and has formed a Shooting Star Doji.

MACD is nearing to entering DC ( Death Cross ) and the Slow Stoch is going South.

Just watch out for 1460 point area !! If that cant withstand then the selling force  will be bigger and we will enter SELLER mode again.

Based on Andrew Pitchfork my next target support is at  1442 / 1445 area…

If that also breakout then end of story … (1350 will be tested )

 

Bursa_malaysia_fbm_klci_trading_60_minute_chart_review_for_12_sept_2011_
 

Thursday, September 8, 2011

Monday, September 5, 2011

Earth Quake? At 2 am on Malaysia Time

Gosh at 2 am i just feel the tremor and my house is shaking... Do u guys feels it too? It just feel like a few years ago when tsunami hits acheh... wish there will be no bads news tmr

BURSA MALASIA FKLI FUTURES TRADING ON 60 MINUTE CHART ON ANDREW PITCHFORK REVIEW FOR 06 SEPT 2011

While the rebound last week offers some hope, tumbling US and European markets last Friday sparked by stagnating August employment numbers in the US, which renewed recession fears, would set a negative tone this week.

 

Thus, expect fresh downside volatility with any near-term strength likely to be matched with keen selling interest, as investors look to reduce stock holdings. So, stay defensive and look to sell on strength.

 

Chart wise, only buy into sharp dips to stronger retracement supports on blue chips such as AirAsia, CIMB, Gamuda, Genting Bhd, IOI Corp, RHB Capital, Sime Darby and TM.

 

In the meantime, the local index must hold above the crucial pivot low support at 1,423.47 on August 9, which is reinforced by 1,420, the 50 per cent Fibonacci Retracement (FR) of uptrend from the 1,243 low of May 27 2010 to the 1,597.08 record high of July 11, to prevent a deeper correction to 1,378, the 61.8 per cent FR, with next significant retracement support at 1,327, representing the 76.4 per cent FR.

 

Immediate upside hurdles stays at 1,490 and 1,510, the respective 38.2 per cent FR and 50 per cent FR levels of the sell-off from the 1,597.08 record high to the recent extreme low of 1,423.47, with the formidable hurdle staying at 1,530, the 61.8 per cent FR matching the 200-day moving average.

 

Bursa_malaysia_fkli_futures_trading_60_minute_chart_review_for_06_sept_2011_sma20n_50